20-21

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Jan 10, 2021

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>In the Bridger Range, Madison Range, southern Gallatin Range and Lionhead area near West Yellowstone large avalanches are easy to trigger, breaking on a thick layer of weak, sugary snow on the ground. The mountains have not received snow since Thursday, but the last two days avalanches and collapses continued to be triggered from lower angle terrain, and propagated long distances.</p>

<p>Yesterday, skiers reported large collapses in the northern Madison Range (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23679">details</a></strong&gt;) and near Hebgen Lake (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23680">details</a></strong&gt;), and a sledder reported wide propagating cracks and an avalanche at Buck Ridge (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/collapse-and-wide-cracks-buck">ph…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/avalanche-buck-ridge">photo</a></…;). On Friday, a skier triggered an avalanche remotely (from a distance) in Cinnamon Creek (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23650"><strong>details</strong></a&gt;). Large collapses were reported in the northern Madison and Bridger Ranges including some cracks breaking 300 ft from the trigger point (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23646"><strong>details</strong></a&gt;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23653"><strong>details</strong></a&gt;). Ian and I rode into Buck Ridge where we saw 9 human triggered and natural avalanches that broke since Tuesday. One of them was triggered on Thursday afternoon and broke 2 ft deep and 1000 ft wide (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VCI4BiZ14CY"><strong>video</strong></a&…;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/beaver-creek-wide-slide-pano"><st…;).</p>

<p>Avalanches can be triggered from low angle terrain connected to steep slopes. Recent activity broke wide, across terrain features into multiple starting zones. Avoid riding on and underneath steep slopes. Today, human triggered avalanches are likely and the avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE.</p>

<p>Yesterday in Hyalite a skier triggered a very large avalanche on Flanders Mountain. It broke when he was at the bottom of the lowest angle side of the run (30-33 degrees). The slide was 2 feet deep where it took out the skier's tracks, and propagated across the whole path around a corner into an adjacent path where the crown was 6 feet deep (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tp5A5YRd43E&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvQDzKmH… of the slide</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23678">photos and details</a></strong>). In the northern Gallatin Range the snowpack has a similar poor structure as surrounding ranges, but less recent snow allowed the snowpack to become less reactive. The avalanche on Flanders, and reports of unstable test results (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/unstable-snowpack-mt-blackmore">p…;) and collapsing on Mt. Blackmore (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23700">details</a></strong&gt;) are signs that it is possible to trigger large avalanches. Today the avalanche danger is MODERATE.</p>

<p>On Friday a group of six skiers triggered an avalanche on The Fin near Cooke City. Three were caught and partially buried, and one was evacuated by helicopter due to serious injuries (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23644"><strong>photos and details</strong></a>). West of Cooke City a separate skier triggered an avalanche which broke 2 feet deep, and he skied off without incident (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23651"><strong>details</strong></a&gt;). Yesterday, riders north of Cooke City reported two avalanches that broke a similar depth as those on Friday (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23690">photo and details</a></strong>), and skiers triggered a small slab low on Republic Mountain (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/skier-triggered-small-slab-republ…;). Some slopes near Cooke City have an unstable recipe with a weak layer buried under recent snow. This structure is not on all slopes, so it requires us to be diligent with careful snowpack assessment, cautious terrain selection and safe travel protocols. Today, avalanches are possible and avalanche danger is MODERATE.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong>website<…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong>mtavalanche@gmail.com</strong></a…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

See our education calendar for an up to date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events and opportunities to check out:

collapse at Blackmore

Mt Blackmore
Northern Gallatin
Code
Latitude
45.44440
Longitude
-111.00400
Notes

From email: "Got up to Blackmore way.  I didn’t like the skin track heading up to N ridge but my partner was a little ahead and should of reeled him back... because the main skinner right now is exposed to much of face.   So when caught up we angle lookers right a tidge to gain ridge. Just before the ridge was the disturbing collapse."

Number of slides
0
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Red Flag
Advisory Year

Sledder triggered slide and 2 naturals in Centennials

CENTENNIAL RANGE
Island Park
Code
SS-AM-R2-D2
Latitude
44.54760
Longitude
-111.52500
Notes

From obs: "...Two natural slab avalanches on north aspect of Reas Peak, one from recent storm and one from previous storm. Photo is from a snowmobile triggered avalanche from 1/9/21, you can see the party and one of the members riding the adjacent slope."

Number of slides
3
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Snowmobile
R size
2
D size
2
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

From obs: "Rain crust is still very present in the snowpack. Two natural slab avalanches on north aspect of Reas Peak, one from recent storm and one from previous storm. Photo is from a snowmobile triggered avalanche from 1/9/21, you can see the party and one of the members riding the adjacent slope." Photo: C. Hericks

Island Park, 2021-01-10