20-21

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Dec 4, 2020

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The Bridger Range received 6-8” of new snow earlier this week with winds creating drifts that avalanched naturally and with human triggers. Two to three inches of new snow in the Gallatin, Madison, and Lionhead areas fell onto a similarly weak foundation but with less wind. Wednesday, skiers triggered an avalanche under the Slushman’s Lift that forced hikers below to scamper out of the way to avoid getting hit by the slide (<a href="https://mtavalanche.com/images/20/skier-triggered-avalanche-under-schla…;). The same day, Big Sky Ski Patrol triggered a hard slab avalanche while performing avalanche mitigation work. Thursday, Bridger Bowl Ski Patrollers working on preseason setup noted a natural avalanche in Sluice Box. In the Bridger Range, strong winds continue to move the lessening supply of fresh snow into drifts. Stay off of hollow feeling slabs of hard snow and watch for cracks coming from your skis as indicators of continued instability.</p>

<p>Calming winds this weekend and less soft snow to transport will allow the snowpack to stabilize and avalanches will be harder to trigger. The theme in all these areas is a thin and weak snowpack that will avalanche when loaded by new snow or wind (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FBsCjnx1G-s"><strong>Lionhead video</strong></a>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HbIdWEuo1o&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvQDzKmH… video</strong></a>). Assess slopes for a slab of cohesive snow on top of weak, sugary snow by digging with your shovel, hand, or sled track. If you find this setup, move to lower angle terrain or a different slope to play on.</p>

<p>The mountains around Cooke City received up to 10” of new snow on Monday with light wind. While this fell on a generally stable snowpack, the story is now more complicated because it buried a weak layer of surface hoar and facets in some locations (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pmsDjjnuS_4"><strong>video</strong></a&…;). These areas are potential landmines. We are working to understand how widespread this weak layer is and you should too if you are riding or skiing in the area. Dig down a few feet and perform an extended column test before committing to any steep terrain. If your test breaks across the column, look for a different slope or stay in lower angle terrain. We are cautiously optimistic that we did not receive reports of significant avalanche activity after the storm. As time passes without new snow, conditions will continue to stabilize. Don’t let your guard down as even a small avalanche can have significant consequences.</p>

<p>Every day we will update the <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/wx-avalanche-log"><strong>weather log</strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/photos"><strong>photos page</strong></a> and <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><strong>avalanche activity list</strong></a>.&nbsp; We will continue issuing early season updates and transition to daily avalanche forecasts when we get more snow. If you have avalanche, snowpack or weather observations to share, please submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong>website<…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong>mtavalanche@gmail.com</strong></a…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

See our education calendar for an up to date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events and opportunities to check out:

Natural wind slab at Bridger

Bridger Bowl
Bridger Range
Code
HS-N-R2-D1.5
Elevation
7400
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.81560
Longitude
-110.92300
Notes

A natural avalanche released in Sluice Box mid morning on 12/3/20 - Crown estimated at 2 Feet.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Hard slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
2
D size
1.5
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Silver Gate Area- Wall Mountain

Date

This afternoon I wandered up to 8500 ft on a WSW aspect on what I believe is known as Wall Mountain, just SW of Republic. HS approached 1m in loaded areas, 50cm otherwise. This mid elevation terrain has poor structure with basal facets present under a 1F to 4F slab, and foot penetration was generally to the ground. There are also a variety of crusts on solar aspects increasing complexity.

Observer Name
Sam H

Natural wind slab avalanche at Bridger

Date
Activity
Skiing

Natural slab in Sluice Box this morning. Seen by patrol.

Region
Bridger Range
Location (from list)
Bridger Bowl
Observer Name
Alex

Big Timber Peak, NNE Aspect pit

Date
Activity
Skiing

NNE Aspect on Big Timber Peak at 7,000ft

Slope angle: ~30 degrees
CT13 @ 75cm
ECT did not propagate

Snowpack structure:

90cm - Snowpack depth
surfrace to 87cm - fresh snow
87cm to 83cm - melt-freeze crust
83cm to 80cm - unmetamorphosed
80cm - thin melt-freeze crust
80cm - 71cm - mostly unmetamorphosed
71cm - thin melt-freeze crust
71cm - 60cm - lightly faceted
60cm - 59cm - thick melt-freeze crust
59cm - 30cm - several melt-freeze crusts with facets between
30cm - thicker melt-freeze crust
30cm - ground - facets, very loose

Region
Out of Advisory Area
Location (from list)
Crazy Peak
Observer Name
Kevin Dice