18-19

We found this fresh skier triggered avalanche in Middle Basin today 1/5/19. East aspect. 9,400’ elev. It broke 1-2’ deep on weak, sugary facets. We had stable results in our stability tests (so did another group nearby), but this slide and recent reports of collapsing in the area indicate an untrustworthy and unstable, poor snowpack structure. Photo: GNFAC

Northern Madison, 2019-01-06

We found this fresh skier triggered avalanche in Middle Basin today 1/5/19. East aspect. 9,400’ elev. It broke 1-2’ deep on weak, sugary facets. We had stable results in our stability tests (so did another group nearby), but this slide and recent reports of collapsing in the area indicate an untrustworthy and unstable, poor snowpack structure. Photo: GNFAC

Northern Madison, 2019-01-06

We found this fresh skier triggered avalanche in Middle Basin today 1/5/19. East aspect. 9,400’ elev. It broke 1-2’ deep on weak, sugary facets. We had stable results in our stability tests (so did another group nearby), but this slide and recent reports of collapsing in the area indicate an untrustworthy and unstable, poor snowpack structure. Photo: GNFAC

Northern Madison, 2019-01-06

This was a recent snowmobile triggered avalanche In Tepee Basin, southern Madison range. This slide failed on facets near the ground and ran into a terrain trap. With more snow and wind in the forecast, it will be important to make conservative terrain selections. Photo: GNFAC 

Southern Madison, 2019-01-05

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat Jan 5, 2019

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The mountains near West Yellowstone and the southern Madison and southern Gallatin ranges have an unstable snowpack with 1.5’ of weak, sugary facets on the ground. Snowfall and wind last week loaded this weak snowpack, and avalanches occurred naturally. Doug saw evidence of these avalanches last Tuesday on Lionhead Ridge near West Yellowstone (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Z5eDFItVF4&amp;t=0s&amp;index=2&amp;li…;, <u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/natural-avalanche-lionhead-ridge"…;). On Thursday, Eric experienced large collapses and unstable test results at Bacon Rind (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zj26vpS2WE0">video</a></strong></u&gt;). Yesterday I rode into Cabin Creek from the Taylor Fork and found similar unstable conditions. Our sleds easily broke through 2.5’ of snow to the ground, a sign of poor snowpack structure (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0aklSLqYaM&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvRNl9ku…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/poor-structure-s-madison-range">p…;).</p>

<p>No snow since Monday has allowed the snowpack to gain strength and avalanches are relatively harder to trigger than earlier in the week. However, recent collapsing and unstable test results, large avalanches last Monday, and an unsupportive snowpack are signs to avoid avalanche terrain. Large avalanches are possible to trigger today and avalanche danger is <strong>MODERATE</strong>.</p>

<p>In the mountains near Bozeman and Big Sky thick drifts of snow that formed from strong wind earlier in the week are possible to trigger. The last two days, skiers in Hyalite and the Bridgers observed crowns of natural avalanches that broke earlier this week on wind loaded slopes (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/old-crown-near-hyalite-peak">phot…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/slab-avalanche-bridger-peak">phot…;). An equally possible place to trigger an avalanche is on slopes with a relatively shallow snowpack where weak, sugary snow underlies a cohesive slab. Eric found this unstable snowpack structure on Mt. Ellis (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jnXlxSi2MRE&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvRNl9ku…;, <u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/buried-facets-wilson-peak">photo<…;), and the last two days skiers in Hyalite and Beehive reported collapsing (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/collapse-and-whumph-beehive">phot…;). Carefully assess for recent wind loading and a poor snowpack structure. If either exists, consider different or low angle terrain. Today, avalanches are possible to trigger and avalanche danger is <strong>MODERATE</strong>.</p>

<p>The mountains near Cooke City have had less recent snow and wind than the rest of the area, and have a relatively stronger snowpack. Doug was in Cooke City last week and found a couple weak layers of concern (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6iS9ManzPo&amp;t=0s&amp;list=PLXu5151n…;, <strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Vb2Y4UZJ1Q&amp;t=0s&amp;list=PLXu5151n…;), but minimal loading from snow and wind makes avalanches unlikely on these weak layers. Wind earlier this week formed drifts of snow that can be triggered near ridgelines, below rock outcroppings, and on cross loaded terrain features (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/crown-butte-avalanches-1">photo</…;). These wind slabs have gained strength and will be difficult to trigger today, but not impossible. Minimal recent loading and no widespread buried weak layers make avalanches unlikely today and avalanche danger is <strong>LOW</strong>.</p>

<p>If you get out and have any avalanche or snowpack observations to share, contact us via our <u><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation">website</a></u&gt;, email (<u><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></u&gt;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.

BOZEMAN

January 8, Women’s Specific Avalanche Awareness, 6:30-8 p.m. Story Mill Park, Bozeman.

January 9, 1-hr Avalanche Awareness, 7-8 p.m. Spire Climbing Center, Bozeman.

Collapse and "Whumph" in Beehive

Beehive Basin
Northern Madison
Code
SS-AS
Elevation
9800
Aspect
W
Latitude
45.33520
Longitude
-111.38400
Notes

From e-mail: " in bhive today, as I rolled into a W facing gully  at around 9800ft I got a good whumph, I noticed a 25ft wide crack probably about 8 inches deep, it did not run just fractured.  I checked it out seemed like it broke on an older slab sitting on that facet layer from early December."

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Slab Thickness
8.0 inches
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

From e-mail: "...in bhive today, as I rolled into a W facing gully  at around 9800ft I got a good whumph, I noticed a 25ft wide crack probably about 8 inches deep, it did not run just fractured.  I checked it out seemed like it broke on an older slab sitting on that facet layer from early December." Photo: T. Grande

Northern Madison, 2019-01-05