21-22

Dudley Creek

Date
Activity
Skiing

GNFAC,

Went for a quick rip up Dudley Creek this afternoon. Seems to be a similar snowpack to other low elevation areas like Mt Ellis. We didn’t get above about 8200’, but on that south facing slope HS was ~50-70cm, generally weak snow felt with pole probes. It was more supportable for boot penetration than I expected. Ski pen was 5cm, boot pen was 15cm. 2” of new snow sat on a breakable sun crust, it skied better than I thought it would on the skin up.

Thanks for everything you guys do!

Spencer

Region
Northern Madison
Location (from list)
Dudley Creek
Observer Name
Spencer Jonas

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Feb 1, 2022

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The mountains around Big Sky and Bozeman received 5” of low-density snow equal to 0.3” of <a href="https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/detail/null/?cid=nrcseprd1314… water equivalent</a> (SWE). The wind is transporting this snow into soft slabs where triggering an avalanche is possible. Small, loose snow avalanches on non-wind-loaded slopes will be relatively harmless except in technical terrain where they could be large enough to push you into or off obstacles.</p>

<p>Yesterday, the Big Sky Ski Patrol triggered isolated soft slabs up to 6” deep and loose snow avalanches. Expect more of the same especially as more new snow comes in today. Prior to yesterday’s storm, we observed weak snow at or near the surface across much of the advisory area. This weak layer resulted in a 1000’ wide avalanche and long-running loose snow sluffs on Saddle Peak one week ago (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SAKP0a0G9ks&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvT1nrM2…; </strong>and <a href="https://mtavalanche.com/node/25629"><strong>details</strong></a&gt;). A natural avalanche near Big Sky last Friday is another example of wind-loaded terrain where instabilities are more likely (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25668"><strong>photo and details</strong></a>). Avalanches breaking deeply in the snowpack are unlikely, but it is worth assessing for isolated areas of instability. As Ian and Doug recently found, the entire snowpack in some of the lower elevation, shallower ski destinations got weaker during January’s high pressure (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VjIW7Pp-hz0&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvT1nrM2… Ellis Video</strong></a><strong>, </strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ax6l1PhUb0&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvT1nrM2… Mountain Video</strong></a>).</p>

<p>Avoid steep slopes if you observe signs of instability such as recent avalanche activity, shooting cracks or fresh drifts of wind-blown snow. The danger is MODERATE on wind-loaded slopes and LOW on all others.</p>

<p>The southern ranges of the advisory area received 2-3” of light snow equal to 0.1 to 0.2” of SWE. Watch for signs of isolated instability especially at higher elevations or in wind-prone areas where small drifts could crack and avalanche. Any avalanche will likely be less than 6” deep except in isolated areas where recent weak layers enhance the danger as Ian explained from Cooke City last weekend (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nEC_zOu4JJg"><strong>video</strong></a&…;). While weak layers at or near the snowpack surface are widespread across the southern portions of the advisory area, they will not be a widespread <em>avalanche concern</em> until they get loaded by more snow (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/22/weak-layers-lionhead"><strong>pho…;, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gR0EiO4JEeM&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvT1nrM2… video</strong></a>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7pv0tDJMuK4&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvT1nrM2… video</strong></a>).</p>

<p>If you are traveling through avalanche terrain, assess the snowpack, limit exposure to one person at a time on steep slopes and be well practiced with the rescue equipment you carry.</p>

<p>Large, human-triggered avalanches are unlikely and the danger is LOW.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong>website<…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong>mtavalanche@gmail.com</strong></a…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Education Opportunities

See our education calendar for an up-to-date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events and opportunities to check out:

Wolverine Basin

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

Snow was well below average for this time of year in the Gravelly Range. The snow pit was dug in Wolverine Basin near Standard Creek. A crust has formed on the very top of the snowpack which could be a layer of concerns during the next loading event. I did not have a crystal card on me but advanced faceting was occurring in the snowpack below 60 cm. There is a weak layer at 60cm that failed with the results as follows: CT 23 and ECTN 21.

Region
Dillon Area
Location (from list)
Gravelly Range
Observer Name
Chris Hericks