22-23

Gullies can be Dangerous, Silken Falls

Date
Activity
Ice Climbing

I dug a pit above Silken Falls in the gulley. I found a weak layer of facets breaking about 10" under a wind slab (ECTP15). We did not get any cracking, but the terrain is very serious and even a small slide could be deadly. We did not feel comfortable center punching up the gully. Given how much traffic the gullies are getting, I do not think it is widespread, but it's out there and could avalanche.

Wind and snow this weekend may make this layer more unstable, so it's important to be careful crossing exposed terrain. Either rope up or tun around if it is suspect.

 

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Hyalite - main fork
Observer Name
Doug Chabot

Mt Ellis

Date
Activity
Skiing

Got in my first tour of the year on Mt Ellis today! I dug a pit on an E/NE aspect at about 7650', and found 90cm of snow. I could not get anything to pop in a shear test, and an extended column had no result. The snowpack very gradually gained density from fist to 1F in about as nice of a gradient as I could hope to see. There was a ~5cm layer of slightly less dense 1-1.5mm facets right at the ground, but they were surprisingly moist and packable. When I finished my ECT, I pried at the back of the column and the whole thing tipped over, taking some dirt with it. This is my singular data point for the year, but my assessment of this small area is that the snowpack is fairly weak, but unstressed where there isn't any wind loading. 

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Mt Ellis
Observer Name
Sam Reinsel

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Dec 9, 2022

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>There is weak snow buried 2-3 ft deep that could avalanche under the weight of a skier or rider today (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O2iI_MqPIqE"><span><span><span><strong>… Fork video</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). Several natural slides broke on these layers during the loading event early in the week and on Tuesday a rider triggered a large slide near Daisy Pass (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8CtHy3efxs"><span><span><span><strong>… Pass video</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/27117"><span><span><span><strong><span… Fork details</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><strong><span><span>, </span></span></strong></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/27113"><span><span><span><strong><span… photo and details</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). The snowpack has now had a few days to accommodate the stress of new and wind drifted snow. Natural avalanches have become unlikely, but human triggered slides remain possible. Dig to search for and test these weak layers in the middle of the snowpack before riding steep slopes. Be doubly skeptical of the weak layers if they are sitting beneath hard slabs of wind drifted snow. Also watch for thin fresh drifts forming today as new snow accumulates.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The avalanche danger is MODERATE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>In the mountains around Bozeman and Big Sky, the primary avalanche concern is slides breaking in drifts of wind-blown snow.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Yesterday, the Yellowstone Club Ski Patrol saw two small avalanches on wind drifted slopes on Cedar Mountain that broke naturally sometime in the last few days (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/27134"><span><span><span><strong><span… and photos</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). On Monday, two skiers were carried 600 ft by an avalanche that initially broke only 6 inches deep as they ascended a couloir on Ross Peak (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/27091"><span><span><span><strong><span… and photos</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). They ended up partially buried with snow packed into the mouth of one skier. This is a good reminder of the power of even a shallow slab.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Watch out for and avoid these wind drifts, or carefully check to see how they’ve bonded before riding steep slopes. We also can’t yet rule out the possibility that there are weak layers on some slopes. Dig and look for weak layers hiding 1-2 ft deep. If you find them, retreat to lower angled terrain and </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_obs"><span><span><span><span>… in an observation</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> to let us know where you found them.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Human-triggered avalanches are possible and the danger is rated MODERATE today</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>If you get out, please share avalanche, snowpack or weather observations via our</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_obs"><span><span><span><span>…; </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><u><span><span>website</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, email (</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>mtavalanche@gmail.com</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs)</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>4-8” of new snow are possible in the Island Park area during the day today. There is weak snow buried 2-3 ft deep in the Lionhead area (and it likely exists in the Island Park area as well) that could avalanche under the weight of a skier or rider today. Dig to search for and test these weak layers in the middle of the snowpack before riding steep slopes. Also watch for fresh drifts forming today as new snow accumulates, if it’s drifted more than a few inches deep you could trigger a dangerous slide.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Dave and I are headed to the Island Park area today. Visit the </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/forecast/centennials"><span><span><span><sp… Park Trip Planning page</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> tonight to learn what we find, and watch our field video. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.

Mt Ellis Conditions

Date
Activity
Skiing

There is windloading along the ridge line but the snow is pretty unaffected on the face. 

I dug 2 pits at different locations:

Pit #1: ECT N21 N28 

Pit #2: ECTX 

Both pits were on E slopes around 7,800 ft.  Overall feeling good with the snowpack there. It does have a slightly upside down structure but couldn’t get anything to fail.  

 

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Mt Ellis
Observer Name
Wallace Casper

Small natural avalanches on Cedar

Cedar Mtn.
Northern Madison
Code
SS-N-R1-D1
Elevation
8000
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.22680
Longitude
-111.51200
Notes

Two small natural avalanches observed on likely wind loaded easterly aspects on slopes around Cedar Mountain at roughly 8,000’. 

Number of slides
2
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year